2011 Newsletter Week 4

Week 3: 3-1

YTD Season: 5-1-1

 

Strong week 3 showing by the ‘Capper hitting a solid 3 of 4 contests.  As predicted Saints proved too big a step in class for Texans.  Both Raider Nation and the Hawks put up big efforts to earn straight-up home doggie victories.  Only the Bears failed to stay within the number as a brilliant end of game punt return was negated by a phantom holding call.

 

Story lines aplenty early in this NFL season; in case you’ve missed a few:

 

Cam justifying all that money he earned in college from his rookie contract

Brady gets a haircut

Vick suffers a boo boo

Chris Johnson dines and dashes

Rex impersonates an NFL quarterback

Romo borrows Wolverine’s healing factor

and…  Eli wins NFC offensive player of the week.  (suck it dream team)

 

‘Capper back to sea level people and feeling good.   Unlike week 3 where the ‘Capper supported three separate big doggies, it will be a week of big a$$ favorites.  Don’t be scared, lay the lumber and cash tickets.

This week’s selections:

Take the Patriots -5.5 at Raiders

Raiders coming off of biggest regular season victory in recent memory versus what will be an angry Pats squad off surprising defeat to glass slipper Bills.  Unlike Jets, Pats have the aerial attack (Ocho Cinco notwithstanding) to punish the Silver & Black’s post Nnamdi secondary.  Last week, despite final score, Jets put up more yards and first downs.   Turnover battle was difference.  Not this week, lay the short #.

 

Take Chicago -6.5 at home versus Panthers

‘Capper recognizes that Cam-a-poolaza is the trend but the scoreboard suggest a team that can’t be trusted ATS.  3 games and so far TD losses to both Zona and the Pack followed by the rain soaked attrition battle versus the Jags.  Sandwich game for Bears but ‘Capper expects big effort coming off of loss to champs.  ATS record for rookies on the road is abysmal; turnover battle will be difference and I trust Chicago defense to bring pain and confusion.  Lay the 6 and a hook.

 

Additional Selection:

 

Take the San Diego Chargers -7 at home versus Phins

Hard to see what Miami has left; three difficult games all resulting in losses and now a cross-country trip to a non-divisional foe one week prior to the bye.  ‘Capper thinks the 0-3 Phins are already looking ahead to vacation week.  Diego survived versus Chiefs but stats suggested a much less even game (Chargers with +9 first downs and 123 additional yards).  Thus far on the season FootballOutsiders has Miami as the worst defense in the league.  Rivers should have fun.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

The NEWSLETTER, a handicapping report with an attitude.

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