Week 4: 2-1
YTD Season: 7-6-1
Consecutive winning weeks has the ‘Capper breathing above sea level again. Public continues to view this season through the lens of last year’s results. It won’t be long before strong performances by the Bills, Lions, and Raiders are no longer seen as surprises.
‘Capper is tired people so lower expectations on the color commentary, witticisms, naughty humor and gratuitous anti-Philly rhetoric. Atoning can be exhausting.
Need some R&R but won’t miss a week of action.
This week’s selections:
Take the Chargers -3.5 at Denver
Bolts own this series 7-2-1 last 10 ATS coming off flat but steady victory over Phins. Denver is awful and heading in wrong direction (at least this year) and in ‘Capper’s opinion bad teams tend to sleepwalk into the annual vacation bye week. Likely to be high scoring contest but Denver can’t be trusted to keep pace given injuries and team psyche.
Take Tampa Bay +3 at San Francisco
‘Capper believes SF will win the vaunted embarrassing NFC West but public showing overreaction with this line. Comeback over Iggles likely biggest SF regular season victory in a decade so easy to see letdown. Public views win versus Philly as an indication of strength. ‘Capper disagrees; Eagles dominating opponents then handing victories away as charity. Niners are average and will be exposed this week; offense is predictable and Alex lack big play ability. Bucs 8-0 ATS last 8 as a road dog, 5-0 off a home win and Niners are 1-10-1 ATS following an ATS cover. Short version: Bucs play great on road and Niners can’t be trusted in consecutive weeks.
Take Falcons +5.5 at home versus Green Bay
Aaron playing brilliant football but ‘Capper believes this line is off. Falcons coming home for a revenge game after consecutive road contests is a great spot. Packers facing big step up in class following broken Broncos squad. Falcons 10-2 last 12 after an ATS loss and close scare versus Hawks should help focus. Packers secondary can be beaten and this is prime spot for letdown. If Falcons are the playoff team (Football Outsides predicted 10 wins) many of us believe, then this is the game in which they show their worth.
The NEWSLETTER, a handicapping report with an attitude.
